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Today Fundamental Analysis: Oil Prices Open Higher as Escalating U.S.–Iran Conflict Fuels Supply Fears

March 30, 2026, 07:45

Oil prices rose sharply on Monday, with Brent above $115 and WTI around $101, as escalating tensions in the Middle East heightened fears of supply disruptions.

The surge was driven by Houthi missile attacks on Israel and reports that President Donald Trump is considering taking control of Iran’s oil resources, signaling a further escalation in the conflict.

As the war enters its fifth week and spreads across the region, growing risks to energy infrastructure and key supply routes continue to push oil prices higher and keep markets on edge.

Asia-Pacific markets fell sharply on Monday, with major indices in South Korea and Japan dropping around 4–5%.

Central banks, particularly the Bank of Japan, flagged the need for potential rate hikes due to rising inflation, while global sentiment remained weak, with U.S. futures also falling after a recent sell-off on Wall Street.

Gold rebounded above $4,500 after dipping earlier, supported by a slight pullback in the U.S. dollar and continued geopolitical tensions.

However, expectations of higher global interest rates and a stronger long term outlook for the dollar continue to limit gold’s upside, with traders cautious about confirming a sustained recovery.

The strength in the US dollar is pressuring other major currencies. EURUSD is consolidating near the 1.1500 level after hitting a one week low, but remains vulnerable to further downside.

Technically, the outlook is mildly bearish, with price below key resistance near 1.1550 and indicators showing weak momentum, suggesting further declines are possible if support levels break.

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