Haftungsausschluss: CFDs sind komplexe Instrumente und bergen aufgrund der Hebelwirkung ein hohes Risiko, schnell Geld zu verlieren.
Sie sollten sich überlegen, ob Sie die Funktionsweise von CFDs verstehen und ob Sie es sich leisten können, das hohe Risiko einzugehen, Ihr Geld zu verlieren.
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Fibonacci
A series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers. Fibonacci retracements are used to identify potential levels of support and resistance.
Fibonacci Arcs
Fibonacci arcs are curved lines plotted on a price chart that combine the numeric properties of the Fibonacci sequence with circular geometry to create possible support and resistance areas. They are made by drawing a baseline from two major price extremes (typically a swing high and a swing low) and then creating arcs at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels of that distance, using the second extreme point as the center of the circles.
The principle is that prices seem to find a level of support or resistance when they intersect these arcs, and as time moves forward on the horizontal axis of a chart, the price level of the arc changes.
Fibonacci arcs are not as widely used as retracements or extensions, but can prove a valuable addition to analysis when time is a variable.
Example: When a trader sees a rally from the low to the high in the recent past, they draw Fibonacci arcs from the low to the high. Price has found support at the 38.2% arc as it reverses its trend.
The trader observes the level, sees the price action, and uses the bounce from the level as one factor, along with the rest of the price action, to decide when to re-enter the market in a long position.
Fibonacci Channel
A Fibonacci channel uses Fibonacci ratios to a price channel instead of one swing, creating a sequence of parallel trend lines above and below the core trend, spaced by Fibonacci intervals. The channel is establishing a primary trendline between two major price points (e.g., two lows), anchoring a second parallel line to an opposing extreme (e.g., a high) to define the initial channel width, and then projecting extensions outward at 38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 138.2%, and 161.8% of that width.
These lines serve as dynamic support and resistance that shift with the trend, providing traders with a framework for where price might extend or pull back within an established directional move. It is especially helpful in strong-moving markets when horizontal levels are less important, as the price is always making new highs or lows.
Example: A commodity has been rising for months within a well-defined channel. The trader builds a Fibonacci channel along the trend and sees that pullbacks have frequently found support at the 38.2% channel line before continuing higher.
When price retraces back to that same line again, the trader uses it as a reference point for a prospective long entry, not a certainty, but a level that has repeatedly proved its usefulness in the context of this particular trend.
Fibonacci Ellipse
A Fibonacci ellipse is a more complex charting tool that is not as widely used, but superimposes an elliptical shape over price action and scales it according to the Fibonacci ratios. The ellipse aims to capture both the price and time variables of a market move in a single geometric shape, and the price should lie within the ellipse’s boundary, indicating the direction of the trend.
The ellipse is more complex than other Fibonacci tools and is not as widely interpreted or understood as other, more popular tools, even by technical analysts who are adept at the rest of the Fibonacci arsenal. Typically, it is seen more in traders who are analytical, use price, time, and geometry, and use specialized charting software.
Example: A technical analyst, studying an equity rally over a multi-month period, plots a Fibonacci ellipse from the beginning and middle of this trend. The upper limit of the ellipse is near where the price stalls and reverses. This is something the analyst considers as confirmation that the tool added real value, but he emphasizes that it should be used in conjunction with other types of analysis, not alone.
Fibonacci Extension
Fibonacci extensions are price levels that extend past the end of a price movement, and are used to determine the potential continuation of a trend after a retracement has ended. Extensions are useful to answer the next question: If the trend continues, where is it likely to go?
The key extension levels are 127.2%, 138.2%, 161.8%, and 261.8% of the initial move, with 161.8% being the most widely watched. Traders use them to add price targets to existing trades, or to find price levels where a trend may be losing momentum and is ready to reverse.
Example: A stock goes from $50 to $80 and then returns to $68 – a clean 38.2% retracement. Trades made at the retracement level are looking for a profit target. They then see that the 161.8% extension of the $50-$80 price range is at $98.60.
Their target is not based on magic numbers but rather on the fact that there are enough other participants focused at the same level to create a “self-fulfilling” area of interest where selling pressure tends to build.
Fibonacci Fan
The Fibonacci fan is a technical indicator that forms diagonal trend lines from a major price swing, either a swing high or a swing low, at Fibonacci ratios of 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. These lines diverge across the chart and form dynamic zones of support & resistance that gain significance as the price nears them.
The fan levels are not horizontal but slope over time, such that the same Fibonacci level interacts with price at different values depending on the time of interaction. They are used by traders to identify potential zones of support or resistance in a long-term trend, or overhead resistance or support in a recovering market.
Example: A trader plots a Fibonacci fan from the high of the sell-off that they had just experienced, all the way down to the low point of the sell-off. When the price bounces, it follows a strong rally till it reaches the 38.2% fan line, after which it stalls and struggles for several sessions.
The trader who was observing the fan had already decided and had a strategy in mind: either move his stop-loss on the shorts closer to the price or find a short opportunity when he saw clear rejection at that fan level.
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