Disclaimer: CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en hebben een hoog risico van snel verliezen van geld als gevolg van hefboomwerking.
U moet overwegen of u begrijpt hoe CFD’s werken en of u het zich kunt veroorloven om het hoge risico te nemen om uw geld te verliezen.
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Halving
A scheduled event which automatically reduces the reward for miners by exactly half in Bitcoin’s protocol, happening every 210,000 blocks or about every four years. To ensure the cap on Bitcoin’s total supply of 21 million coins, the Halvings occur by gradually decreasing the rate of new coins created until the supply reaches zero.
During the initial launch, miners were rewarded 50 BTC for every block they mined. Every other halving that rewards down will be written. The mechanism is engineered to have programmatic scarcity: When the demand remains constant or increases while the supply goes down, basic economic rules, and so will the prices. Bitcoin has had historical price increases after the halving, but it is not certain that it is a causal connection due to the effect of overall market conditions.
Halvings also have an impact on miner economics they can lead to marginal operations not being profitable, and cause a brief network hash rate decline until the difficulty adjusts.
Example: A miner who was barely profitable prior to a halving reevaluates his business after the halving. If bitcoin’s price does not rise proportionally, miners shut down their rigs. Until difficulty levels are lowered, the remaining miners receive a more significant portion of the smaller reward pool, and the self-correcting mechanism of the network that restores miner profitability at the new lower reward level.
Hammer
A one candle reversal after a downtrend. The candle has a short body at the top end of the candle size range, and a long lower wick (at least twice the body’s length), with little or no upper wick. Visually: small head and long handle.
The rationale: Sellers pushed prices down very quickly during the session, but buyers were able to make up almost all those losses by session’s end, leaving a small body near the session high. During a downtrend, this recovery can indicate the end of selling pressure and the start of buying pressure at the lows.
The characteristics that make the signal more reliable are a long downward trend prior to the candle, a long lower wick at least twice the length of the body of the candle, and the subsequent candle closing above the body of the candle. If there is no confirmation, the hammer can just continue its price declines.
Example: A stock that has been in a downtrend for a number of weeks prints a hammer candle at a previous support level, where the wick extends deep below the candle body and the stock closes near the day’s high on increased volume. The next session starts and finishes above the body of the hammer, which is where technical traders look for confirmation and use it as a long entry, with the stop just below the body.
Hammer Candlestick
A bullish indicator that signals strong buying pressure, initially pushing the price down but closing near the high.
Handle
The whole-number part of a price quote is also called the big figure. If EUR/USD is quoted at 1.0847, the handle is 1.08. Professional dealing rooms typically don’t quote the handle as it will be apparent to both parties from the data on their screens. A dealer calling out “forty-seven, fifty” implies 1.0847/1.0850.
In equity markets, a stock at $152.75 has a handle of $152. The price of $150 is the “$150 handle” that traders are keeping an eye on.
Transitions have a psychological value larger than the nominal value of the price change. When the price moves from $199 to $200 or drops one of the numbers in a sell-off, the perception of the price range is anchored and orders tend to be grouped at those price points, because traders tend to mentally represent price ranges around the number they first read.
Example: An FX trader contacts her interbank counterpart requesting the price in cable, and receives the response “forty-two, forty-five. No handle is mentioned both traders have the same handle of 1.27 on their Reuters terminals, and the shorthand is understood. The professional convention removes all redundant digits and only leaves the digits which differentiate the bid from the offer at the given moment for the given quote.
Hang Seng
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s most widely used share index, which includes the most important and most liquid companies in Hong Kong’s financial services, technology, consumer goods and property sectors. The index is indicative of Hong Kong’s position as a world financial center and a bridgehead for the Chinese mainland economy.
The Hang Seng is very sensitive to Chinese economic data, policy moves, property-related news and developments from the United States and China, all of which can trigger steep intraday swings when the news flow is significant. International investors face the most indirect currency risks because the index is denominated in Hong Kong dollars and tied to the USD.
The Hang Seng is also the foundation for most of the CFD instruments trading on most of the global platforms, including the HK50/HKHI.
Example: Chinese regulators announce an investigation into several technology companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Hang Seng is taking a big hit at the open, weighed down by the tech sector. A global fund manager with index-level exposure to the Hang Seng is taking a hit even if he doesn’t have a stance on Chinese regulatory risks, as the index’s construction itself reflects the risks of Chinese regulation.
Hanging Man
A single-candle bearish reversal pattern that is structurally similar to the hammer, with a small body at the top of a range, long lower wick, and little or no upper wick. The difference is context: A hammer forms after a downtrend and indicates an uptrend is possible, whereas a hanging man forms after an uptrend and indicates a downtrend may be possible.
The interpretation: During the session, sellers pushed prices a considerable distance below the open, followed by buyers closing the session at the open level. During an uptrend, intraday selling is a warning that supply is starting to emerge to challenge the bullish trend. That supply will either be overwhelming to the subsequent demand or not, which is the answer to the next session.
Confirmation is critical. One hanging man is not enough. The signal is valid only when the next session closes below the hanging man’s body.
Example: An equity index that has been in a multi-month rally forms a hanging man candle close to a previous all-time high. The session opens again on heavy volume, closing under the hanging man’s body. Technical traders consider this two-session pattern a confirmation of a potential reversal, to reduce the size of their long trades or to initiate new shorts, and the hanging man’s high is the natural stop level to keep off any new short trade.
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