
Global markets are rallying this week on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December. The CME FedWatch tool shows traders pricing in an 84% chance of a 25 bps cut. U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, marking a fourth straight day of gains ahead of Thanksgiving. Dow Jones and the S&P 500 gained 0.7, and the Nasdaq added 0.8%. Tech stocks helped lift the market, with Oracle jumping 4%
The Fed’s latest Beige Book shows early signs of a cooling U.S. economy. Employment declined slightly in mid-November as businesses slowed hiring, reduced hours, or relied on attrition rather than layoffs. Consumer spending also softened, especially among middle-income households, while higher-income spending remained resilient.
In Europe, Thursday brings no major earnings, with key data limited to Germany’s GfK consumer confidence survey and EU economic sentiment figures.
NZD/USD extended its gains on Thursday, rising to a new monthly high near 0.5730 during the Asian session, helped by broad US Dollar weakness, strong retail sales, and and indication from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to end the rate cuts. The pair broke above key resistance at 0.5730.
In the commodities market, gold prices climbed to their highest level in more than a week as rising expectations of a December Fed rate cut boosted demand for the non-yielding asset. The precious metal rose 0.8% to $4,173.
The crypto market also jumped 3.7% on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s nearly 4.5% surge above $91,000 and Ethereum’s 4% rebound above $3,000. Risk appetite strengthened across sectors. Additionally, Ripple’s USD-backed stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD), has been officially recognized as an Accepted Fiat-Referenced Token by Abu Dhabi’s Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA). This approval allows licensed firms within the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) to use RLUSD for regulated activities, provided they meet compliance requirements.
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