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Today Fundamental Analysis: Oil Falls Below $90 as Trump Signals Potential End to the Conflict

March 10, 2026, 07:49

Oil Falls Below $90 as Trump Signals Potential End to the Conflict

Oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump suggested the conflict with Iran could end soon, easing fears of prolonged supply disruptions. Brent crude dropped to $84 before trimming losses to above $90.00 per barrel, while U.S. crude slipped below $80 during and now trading at around $84. These declines happened after both benchmarks had surged above $100 in early trading on Monday.

Markets reacted to Trump’s comments indicating the war might end very soon, which helped calm concerns over a major energy supply shock linked to tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.

Meanwhile, global policymakers are exploring ways to stabilize oil supply. Energy ministers from the G7 countries are expected to discuss releasing emergency oil reserves, potentially tapping 300–400 million barrels from strategic stockpiles to offset supply disruptions caused by the conflict.

U.S. stock futures slipped Monday night, with Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 futures each falling about 0.3% as investors continued monitoring developments in the conflict with Iran. The cautious tone followed a highly volatile trading session in which markets initially dropped sharply before staging a strong rebound.

On Monday, Dow Jones recovered from a loss of nearly 900 points to close more than 2% higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also ended the day higher by more than 2%. The rebound was fueled by comments from President Donald Trump suggesting the military campaign against Iran could end soon and that the U.S. is focused on ensuring global oil supplies continue to flow.

Investors are also watching upcoming economic data, including the U.S. consumer price index due Wednesday and the personal consumption expenditures inflation report on Friday.

Asian markets rebounded on Tuesday after oil prices dropped sharply and Wall Street recovered. South Korea’s Kospi led the gains, opening more than 5% higher, while the Kosdaq jumped over 4%, as investors returned to risk assets.

In the commodities market, gold rebounded from the $5,000 level and gained modestly during Tuesday’s Asian session as geopolitical tensions remained elevated.

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