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Fundamental Analysis: Dow Jones Reaches New Record Highs After Powell Hinted at Rate Cuts

August 25, 2025, 07:19

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record high on Friday after Fed Chair Powell hinted at potential rate cuts in September during his speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. In his speech, Powell referenced sweeping changes in tax, trade and immigration policies, noting that the balance of risks appear to be shifting between employment and price stability goals.

Markets interpreted these comments as signaling a likely rate cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting. The remarks drove stocks higher and Treasury yields lower. Dow Jones jumped 1.89% to 45,631, the S&P 500 gained 1.51% to 6,467, and the Nasdaq 100 rose 1.58% to 23,508. Tech stocks surged as well. Nvidia rose 1.7% to $178 , Meta rose 2%, Alphabet and Amazon over 3%, and Tesla jumped 5.8% to $340

After Powell’s speech, September rate cut probability increased to 87% from 75%, according to CME’s FedWatch.

The crypto market also benefited from the hints at changing the monetary policy of the Fed. Ether reached a new record high over the weekend after Friday’s all-time high since 2021.

The cryptocurrency peaked at $4,954 Sunday. Meanwhile, bitcoin fell to $110,779, erasing Friday’s gains and hitting its lowest since July 10.

Today, U.S. equity futures were mostly flat in early trading following Dow’s record highs as investors awaited Nvidia earnings. Dow futures dipped 0.12%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.09%, and Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.1%.

This week, traders await Friday’s July PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. Markets expect core PCE to show 2.9% year-over-year growth, compared to June’s 2.8%.

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