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Term Spread

The term spread compares interest rates on similar debt with different times to maturity. A commonly watched version subtracts the 2-year US Treasury yield from the 10-year yield. If the 10-year yields 4.5% and the 2-year yields 4%, the spread is 0.5 percentage points. Longer-term yields are normally higher because investors commit their money for more time. When short-term yields rise above long-term yields, the spread becomes negative and the yield curve is said to be inverted. Different analysts may use different maturity pairs, so “the term spread” is incomplete unless the two rates are identified.

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