Descargo de responsabilidad: Los CFD son instrumentos complejos y conllevan un alto riesgo de perder dinero rápidamente debido al apalancamiento.
Debe considerar si comprende cómo funcionan los CFDs y si puede permitirse el lujo de correr el alto riesgo de perder su dinero.
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Falling Three Methods
Falling Three Methods is a bearish continuation candlestick pattern that appears during a downtrend and signals that the selling pressure is likely to resume after a brief pause. It consists of five candles.
The first is a long bearish candle in the direction of the trend. The next three are small bullish candles that retrace slightly but remain within the first candle’s range; a modest pullback that looks like it might be going somewhere but lacks the conviction to break higher.
The fifth candle is another strong bearish candle that closes below the first candle’s low, confirming that the brief recovery has failed and the downtrend is back in control.
Example: A stock has been falling steadily for several weeks. One session produces a large red candle. Over the next three days, the stock edges slightly higher on low volume; enough to tempt some buyers but not enough to meaningfully challenge the trend. On the fifth day, it drops hard again, closing below the recent low.
Traders who recognized the Falling Three Methods pattern used that fifth candle as confirmation to add to or re-enter short positions rather than getting caught by the temporary bounce.
Falling Wedge
A falling wedge is a chart pattern where price moves lower between two downward-sloping trend lines that are converging toward each other. Both lines point downward, but the lower support line is less steep than the upper resistance line, indicating the range is gradually tightening as the price falls.
Despite the downward appearance, it’s generally considered a bullish pattern; a signal that selling pressure is weakening even as the price continues to drift lower. The decreasing momentum within the wedge suggests buyers are gradually gaining ground.
A break above the upper trend line, especially on strong volume, is the trigger that confirms the pattern and often leads to a meaningful upside move.
Example: A currency pair has been sliding lower for several weeks, forming a falling wedge as each rally is weaker than the last, while each sell-off is losing momentum. Eventually, the pair breaks above the upper trend line of the wedge on an above-average volume session.
Traders who spotted the pattern early were watching for exactly that break and used it as their entry signal for a long position, targeting a move back toward the wedge’s origin.
Faucet
In the cryptocurrency world, a faucet is a website or application that gives away small amounts of cryptocurrency for free, usually by completing simple tasks such as solving a CAPTCHA, watching an ad, or answering a quiz.
The name is inspired by the notion of a trickling tap; small droplets, coming together slowly. Faucets were first created to dole out Bitcoin when it was worth next to nothing, to get the currency into more people’s hands and raise awareness.
But the amounts awarded are so small that they can’t even cover a typical network transaction fee. To avoid this, contemporary faucets store user rewards inside particular micro-wallets, so that faucets become more of an educational portal than a revenue generator.
Example: A crypto enthusiast who is not ready to buy some yet visits a Bitcoin faucet, does a few easy activities, and gets a few hundred satoshis; a fraction of a fraction of one Bitcoin. They’re not going to retire on it, but now they have a real wallet with a real amount and have experienced getting and storing cryptocurrency, which was the whole point of faucets to begin with.
Fed Dot Plot
The Fed Dot Plot is a chart released four times a year by the Federal Reserve that shows where each member of the Federal Open Market Committee expects interest rates to be at the end of the current year, the next two years, and over the longer run.
Each member’s projection is shown as an anonymous dot on the chart – hence the name. It gives markets a window into the collective thinking of the people actually setting US interest rates, which is why it moves markets significantly when it’s released.
A shift in the median dot, the middle projection across all members, can reprice rate expectations across the entire yield curve within minutes. The dots are projections, not promises, and they change from meeting to meeting as the economic outlook evolves.
Example: At a March meeting the median dot suggests two rate cuts for the year. By June, a stronger-than-expected economy has shifted the median to just one cut. Bond yields rise, the dollar strengthens, and equity markets wobble, all because a scatter of anonymous dots on a chart moved slightly upward. That’s how much weight markets give to Fed communication.
Fed Fund Futures
Fed funds futures are financial contracts that enable traders to speculate on or hedge against the Fed’s benchmark interest rate at a future date. They trade on the CME Group market and are priced off the predicted average fed funds rate for a given month. They are directly connected to rate expectations and, as such, have become one of the most frequently monitored measures for gauging market consensus on Fed policy.
Analysts extract implied probabilities from these contracts; the market is presently pricing in a 70% probability of a cut in September, for instance, and those probabilities change in real time as economic data and Fed communication change.
Example: Before a Fed meeting, a trader betting that the market is underestimating the probability of a rate cut would buy Fed funds futures contracts for the relevant month. If the Fed does reduce rates and futures prices rise to reflect the lower rate, the trader makes a profit.
Central bank watchers, economists, and journalists all use the same contracts to gauge what the market as a whole expects the Fed to do. They are a real-time referendum on expectations of monetary policy.
Fed Put
The Fed Put is the prevailing idea that the Federal Reserve would step in with looser monetary policy; rate reduction, asset purchases, or emergency liquidity measures – whenever financial markets fall badly enough. The name is derived from the option idea of a put, which protects against downside risk.
The idea is that the Fed effectively sets a floor beneath markets, ruling out catastrophic losses, because the central bank will eventually step in to soften the impact.
This view has been confirmed repeatedly after 1987, the dot-com bust, the 2008 crisis, and COVID, when the Fed responded to acute market stress with massive easing. Critics say the Fed Put encourages reckless risk-taking because investors expect to be bailed out. Proponents claim that central bank action in crises is simply smart policy.
Example: Fears of a recession sent equity markets down 20% in six weeks. Trading desk strategists start scribbling down notes on when the Fed Put will kick in, at what level of market stress the Fed would likely shift from its hawkish posture, and on announcing that rate cuts are imminent.
The prospect of that intervention becomes a stabilizing force in itself, with buyers moving in before the Fed has really acted.
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